Compare IPCC Scenarios Interactive
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) recognizes that future human behaviors will play a large role in determining how Earth's climate changes over the coming century. We simply don't know how societies and governments will deal with the problem of human emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG) in the years ahead. To account for this type of uncertainty, the IPCC put forth several possible scenarios of future human GHG emissions in their 2007 Assessment Report. The interactive below provides an overview of the 6 major scenarios used in the IPCC's 2007 report to estimate future climate.
Use the menu in the left corner below to select a scenario. Each listing provides a textual description of the scenario as well as graphs of the CO2 emissions, likely atmospheric CO2 concentrations that would result from that emissions trend, and the range of average global temperature increases that climate models predict from those CO2 levels.
Credit: Images courtesy of the IPCC (AR4 WG1 Chapter 10 p. 803 Figure 10.26).
© 2011 UCAR with portions adapted from Windows to the Universe (© 2010 NESTA)